Bold Light
9yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 114
Perth · Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Perth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Newcastle | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kelso | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-02-15 | Musselburgh | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 01/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |