10
Boston Jury
6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 105
Perth · Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.9
Today: 4
Class gap: -6.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA104 | −6 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Ballinrobe | BHA109 | 8th | 16th | −7 |
| 2025-07-25 | Kilbeggan | BHA111 | 9th | 18th | −7 |
| 2025-07-05 | Bellewstown | BHA111 | 8th | 17th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2024 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 18/08/2024 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 30/08/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 05/07/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 25/07/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 12/09/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |