7
Dolly Dior
5yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 110
Perth · Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Perth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hexham | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Perth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sedgefield | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |