4

Hidden Fortune

5yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 114

Perth · Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Irish point winner who was runner-up in a pair of bumpers last season is 2-2 over hurdles this time round, latterly a 17 Bangor novice 15 days ago. The handicapper hasn't taken any chances with her opening mark but there should be more to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Market Rasen 26/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m125y GS 14926/1154 @ Fakenham 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m3y Gd 1566/0444 @ Fontwell 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m1f162y Goo 15814/0544 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m145y Gd 1548/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee41st1st0
2026-05-14Fontwell41st1st0
2026-04-06Fakenham42nd2nd0
2025-11-26Market Rasen52nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/116/0414/058/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20252nd5/287%75%-0.12
06/04/20262nd5/696%75%-0.21
14/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
08/09/20261st5/493%100%+0.07