11
Micks Jet
8yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 105
Perth · Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Carlisle | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-20 | Market Rasen | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-18 | Wetherby | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-07 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Wetherby | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2024 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 15/11/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 29/11/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 01/01/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 23/01/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/02/2025 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 86% | -0.03 |
| 26/02/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 20/04/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |