5

Timefortom

6yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 112

Perth · Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 35y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Irish point winner. Fair form when second in maiden/novice hurdles over 2½m towards the end of 2025 but below that level twice since, including C&D handicap debut in April (broke blood vessel).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kelso 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m4f189y Gd 1545/1044 @ Musselburgh 08/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 2m3f171y Sft 1588/1244 @ Perth 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 112 · 2m4f35y Goo 165 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 112 par23/044OR 112projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-23Perth45th5th0
2026-01-15Newcastle40
2025-12-08Musselburgh42nd2nd0
2025-10-05Kelso42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/108/1223/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength7%

Delivery trend -8.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20252nd6/168%88%+0.19
08/12/20252nd5/696%67%-0.29
23/04/20265th10/147%50%+0.03