6

Annie Agnew

6yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 108

Perth · Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Handicap Hurdle · 2m 47y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Right back on track of late and gained a first success in 10-runner handicap hurdle here (2½m, good) 16 days ago. Up 5 lb but not taken lightly in her current mood.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Down Royal 01/09/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 1411/09C?4 @ Perth 04/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 106 · 2m47y Gd 155 · below its mark04/07/2024 · OR 106 par2 @ Perth 17/08/2024 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 108 · 2m47y Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/08/2024 · OR 108 par17/082OR 108BHA102 @ Downpatrick 15/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 102 · 2m5f185y Goo 164 · below its mark15/07/2025 · OR 102 par4 @ Sedgefield 04/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 106 · 2m3f188y Gd 161 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 106 par4/094OR 1064 @ Perth 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 103 · 2m4f35y Goo 157 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 103 parBHA97 @ Downpatrick 22/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 97 · 2m2f185y Goo 153 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 97 par22/0597OR 974 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 100 · 2m4f35y Gd 156 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 100 par4 @ Perth 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 103 · 2m4f35y Gd 161 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 103 par7/094OR 103projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Perth41st1st0
2026-08-15Perth42nd2nd0
2026-05-22DownpatrickBHA9710th17th6
2026-05-14Perth44th4th0
2025-10-31Down RoyalBHA1006
2025-09-04Sedgefield45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0915/0722/057/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength85%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20231st2/189%100%+0.11
04/07/20242nd4/179%86%+0.07
17/08/20249th9/276%27%-0.49
15/07/20255th6/168%50%-0.18
04/09/20255th3/184%50%-0.34
14/05/20264th18/581%40%-0.41
22/05/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
15/08/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
07/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14