7
Nobotheratall
6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 105
Perth · Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Handicap Hurdle · 2m 47y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Hexham | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kelso | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Kelso | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kelso | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 11/5 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 20/04/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |