2

Tintintin

7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 112

Perth · Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Handicap Hurdle · 2m 47y

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful at his best. Looked badly out of sorts last season and failed to revive after 7-month absence when seventh of 8 in handicap hurdle at Worcester (2½m, good) 31 days ago. Lurks on a handy mark if back on song, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Wetherby 16/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 127 · 2m Goo 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/10/2024 · OR 127 par16/103OR 1271 @ Cheltenham 17/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 126 · 2m87y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/11/2024 · OR 126 par3 @ Cheltenham 13/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 126 · 2m179y Goo 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/12/2024 · OR 126 par13/123OR 1262 @ Ascot 15/02/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 126 · 2m3f58y Goo 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 126 par2 @ Sandown 08/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 124 · 1m7f216y Goo 145 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/03/2025 · OR 124 par8/032OR 1241 @ Aintree 04/04/2025 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 125 · 2m4f Goo 148 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2025 · OR 125 par3 @ Cheltenham 24/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 124 · 2m3f200y GS 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 124 par24/103OR 1244 @ Newbury 14/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 119 · 2m69y GS 167 · below its mark14/01/2026 · OR 119 par4 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 116 · 2m4f Gd 169 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 116 par23/084OR 116projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Worcester47th7th0
2026-01-14Newbury49th9th0
2025-11-27Lingfield3+1
2025-10-24Cheltenham37th6th+1
2025-04-04Aintree115th11th+3
2025-03-08Sandown24th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1015/0224/1023/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength27%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20245th5/287%20%-0.67
17/11/20244th33/10%79%+0.79
13/12/20246th11/271%62%-0.10
15/02/20257th10/147%40%-0.07
08/03/20254th18/15%81%+0.76
04/04/202515th10/147%26%-0.21
24/10/20257th18/15%68%+0.63
14/01/20269th10/147%20%-0.27
23/08/20267th14/126%14%-0.12