
Tintintin
7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 112
Perth · Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Handicap Hurdle · 2m 47y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Newbury | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Lingfield | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2025-10-24 | Cheltenham | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-04-04 | Aintree | 1 | 15th | 11th | +3 |
| 2025-03-08 | Sandown | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2024 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 17/11/2024 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 13/12/2024 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 62% | -0.10 |
| 15/02/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 08/03/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 81% | +0.76 |
| 04/04/2025 | 15th | 10/1 | 47% | 26% | -0.21 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 68% | +0.63 |
| 14/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |