2

King Of Answers

7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 143

Perth · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 180y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made great strides as a novice chaser last season when twice a winner at Kelso before an excellent second of 17 in National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham Festival (3¾m). Pulled up on final run in Scottish Grand National at Ayr but interesting on pick of last season's novice form. Yard quiet though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 16/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f62y Goo 16416/0144 @ Newcastle 13/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m4f62y Goo 1633 @ Uttoxeter 15/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f207y GS 16215/0333 @ Perth 25/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 124 · 3m2f127y Goo 162 · below its mark25/04/2025 · OR 124 par3 @ Hexham 11/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 128 · 2m4f15y Gd 155 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 128 par11/103OR 1283 @ Kelso 07/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 127 · 2m7f96y Sft 164 · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 127 par3 @ Windsor 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 131 · 3m60y Sft 159 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 131 par16/013OR 1312 @ Kelso 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 130 · 2m7f96y Hvy 156 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 130 par2 @ Cheltenham 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 140 · 3m5f201y GS 164 · below its mark10/03/2026 · OR 140 par10/032OR 140projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-18Ayr1+1
2026-03-10Cheltenham22nd2nd0
2026-02-13Kelso21st1st0
2026-01-16Windsor34th5th1
2025-12-07Kelso31st2nd1
2025-10-11Hexham35th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0125/0416/0110/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20256th10/147%44%-0.03
13/02/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
15/03/20254th7/491%63%-0.28
25/04/20252nd6/168%91%+0.22
11/10/20255th4/179%0%-0.79
07/12/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
16/01/20264th3/184%25%-0.59
13/02/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
10/03/20262nd22/10%94%+0.94