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9

Walk On Quest

7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 123

Perth · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 7f 180y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed the odds in 3-runner chase at Kelso (23f) in May. Got back on track with second of 7 in handicap chase over C&D in July but needs to back it up now in this more exacting company. Stable without a win in over 2 months too.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kelso 01/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 120 · 2m5f133y GS 152 · beat its mark01/03/2025 · OR 120 par1/033OR 1202 @ Perth 24/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 124 · 2m4f20y Goo 143 · below its mark24/04/2025 · OR 124 par3 @ Kelso 08/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 123 · 2m7f96y Goo 158 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 123 par8/113OR 1234 @ Newcastle 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 122 · 2m4f19y Goo 170 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 122 par3 @ Wetherby 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 122 · 2m3f85y Sft 163 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 122 par22/013OR 1223 @ Kelso 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 118 · 2m7f96y Goo 154 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 118 par4 @ Kelso 06/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 121 · 2m7f96y Gd 169 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 121 par6/054OR 1212 @ Perth 07/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 124 · 2m7f180y Gd 142 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 124 par3 @ Perth 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 123 · 2m7f180y Gd 161 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 123 par12/073OR 123projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Perth32nd3rd−1
2026-06-07Perth28th8th0
2026-05-06Kelso41st3rd−2
2026-04-20Kelso32nd3rd−1
2026-03-22Carlisle20
2026-01-22Wetherby36th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0311/126/0512/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
24/04/20256th11/271%0%-0.71
08/11/20255th4/179%33%-0.46
11/12/20252nd6/168%88%+0.19
22/01/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
20/04/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
06/05/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
07/06/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
12/07/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57