Delgany Second Now
4yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 98
Perth · Thank You To Kinneston Owners Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 20y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |