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8

Roi Du Roume

6yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 79

Perth · Thank You To Kinneston Owners Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 20y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved from chase debut fitted with cheekpieces/tongue strap when second in a Cartmel handicap in June. Quick turnaround possibly caught him out over hurdles later that month and having had a breathing operation, he saw it out well over fences when second 3 weeks ago. Shortlisted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ffos Las 30/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m7f182y Hvy 156 · HIGHER CLASS30/0144 @ Chepstow 13/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m16y Sft 156 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Ffos Las 01/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f Hvy 161 · HIGHER CLASS1/0345 @ Perth 22/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 79 · 2m7f207y Goo 144 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 79 par5 @ Perth 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 79 · 2m4f35y Goo 142 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 79 par24/045OR 795 @ Newton Abbot 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 79 · 2m4f216y Goo 155 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 79 par5 @ Cartmel 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 76 · 2m5f34y Gd 144 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 76 par26/065OR 765 @ Cartmel 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 2m6f31y Goo 149 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 78 par5 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 78 · 2m5f34y Goo 151 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 78 par29/085OR 78projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel52nd2nd0
2026-06-28Cartmel56th6th0
2026-06-26Cartmel52nd2nd0
2026-05-27Newton Abbot54th4th0
2026-04-24Perth54th4th0
2026-04-22Perth53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0122/0426/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20267th17/255%14%-0.41
13/02/202610th125/10%31%+0.31
01/03/20267th80/10%25%+0.25
22/04/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
24/04/20264th5/696%57%-0.38
27/05/20264th7/491%25%-0.66
26/06/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
28/06/20266th3/184%44%-0.40
29/08/20262nd11/486%90%+0.04