Walk On Son
6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 88
Perth · Thank You To Kinneston Owners Handicap Chase · 2m 4f 20y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Kelso | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-05-09 | Hexham | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Ayr | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Newcastle | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-11-14 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 08/03/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/04/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/09/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |