7
Anamanda
7yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 82
Perth · Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Musselburgh | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Musselburgh | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Musselburgh | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Kelso | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Perth | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 21/03/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 22/04/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 24/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 08/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 23/01/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |