C'mon So
5yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 77
Perth · Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Perth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Hexham | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Hexham | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Hexham | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 13/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |