11
Judicial Review
8yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 73
Perth · Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Cartmel | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Cartmel | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Cartmel | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/12/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |