1

Seeyainthesuninn

6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 94

Perth · Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 7f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Second Cartmel success of the summer when seeing off 11 rivals over 25f under Alice Stevens 25 days ago. Raised another 6 lb but still respected with the yard going well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kelso 14/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m51y Sft 154 · HIGHER CLASS14/0244 @ Haydock 19/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m5f50y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Perth 23/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f35y GS 160 · HIGHER CLASS23/0445 @ Sedgefield 13/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 89 · 2m3f188y Sft 160 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 89 par5 @ Sedgefield 01/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 85 · 2m3f188y Goo 153 · below its mark01/04/2026 · OR 85 par1/045OR 855 @ Perth 24/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 2m4f35y Goo 144 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 81 par5 @ Cartmel 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 78 · 2m6f31y Goo 149 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 78 par28/065OR 785 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 88 · 2m6f31y Gd 156 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 88 · 3m1f83y Goo 156 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 88 par29/085OR 88projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Cartmel51st1st0
2026-07-20Cartmel54th4th0
2026-06-28Cartmel51st1st0
2026-05-19Hexham50
2026-04-24Perth53rd3rd0
2026-04-01Sedgefield57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0213/1128/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20256th200/10%17%+0.17
19/03/20255th80/10%20%+0.20
23/04/20255th200/10%56%+0.56
13/11/20258th80/10%22%+0.22
01/04/20267th28/10%40%+0.40
24/04/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
28/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
20/07/20264th6/492%63%-0.30
29/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39