1

King Miano

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 67

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 81 · 7f Fas 120 · beat its mark20/12/2024 · OR 81 par20/12C8OR 81C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark29/01/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 86 · 7f Fas 118 · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 86 par8/03C8OR 86C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 90 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark29/03/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 1m39y Fas 118 · beat its mark18/04/2025 · OR 89 par18/04C8OR 89C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 84 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 73 par22/07C8OR 73C8 @ Mountaineer 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m 124 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Mountaineer 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 64 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 64 par16/09C8OR 64projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2026-08-11Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?9th9th0
2026-06-22Presque Isle Downs?7th7th0
2025-04-18Tampa Bay Downs?1st1st0
2025-03-29Tampa Bay Downs?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1229/0322/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20241st11/486%100%+0.14
29/01/20252nd15/890%86%-0.04
08/03/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
29/03/20254th10/382%50%-0.32
18/04/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
22/06/20267th9/153%0%-0.53
22/07/20269th25/10%0%0.00
11/08/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
16/09/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08