Night Ride
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/05/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 08/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 03/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |