4
Wrote In Stone
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/08/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |