2
Lazy Y Legacy
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 56
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 18/04/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 07/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |