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Why Chris Why

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 36

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 13/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f 12213/12C9C9 @ Oaklawn Park 15/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 47 · 1m110y Fas 125 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 47 par15/03C9OR 47C9 @ Oaklawn Park 02/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 52 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 52 par2/04C9OR 52C9 @ Oaklawn Park 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 40 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 40 par30/04C9OR 40C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 33 · 1m70y 125 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 33 par2/09C9OR 33projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-04-30Oaklawn Park?7th7th0
2026-04-02Oaklawn Park?9th9th0
2026-03-15Oaklawn Park?5th5th0
2025-12-13Oaklawn Park?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1215/032/0430/042/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20259th20/10%0%0.00
15/03/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
02/04/20269th25/10%0%0.00
30/04/20267th80/10%33%+0.33
02/09/20264th10/147%40%-0.07