1
Baytown Da Vinci
2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 54
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ellis Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ellis Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |