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2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 69
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -26.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |