3
Windhurst
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 59
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -10.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |