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5

No Tappin Out

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 91

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

88%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2025 · OR 89 par7/07C5OR 89C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2025 · OR 91 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 90 par17/09C7OR 90C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 86 par15/06C7OR 86C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 86 · 6f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 82 par28/07C8OR 82C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 85 · 6f 123 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 85 par25/08C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-08-11Presque Isle Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-28Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-07-13Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-06-15Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-05-25Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0725/0528/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength87%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
03/09/20255th4/179%33%-0.46
17/09/20254th13/891%40%-0.51
25/05/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
15/06/20262nd20/10%80%+0.80
13/07/20264th15/261%50%-0.11
28/07/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
11/08/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51
25/08/20264th13/266%0%-0.66