2
Pink Channel
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Turf Paradise | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 03/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |