3
Silent Diva
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |