7
What's Good
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 69
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 24/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |