9
Princess Charming
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 54
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 13/02/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |