8
D'oro Lemon
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 83
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |