6
Irish Stone
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |