2
Maybern
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/09/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |