7
Diver
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 18/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |