6
Forum
3yo Colt · 8-7 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |