3
Driftwood
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 03/01/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 10% | -0.66 |
| 13/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 28/03/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |