8
Goose Hunter
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 83
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |