J P Hellish
10yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 01/03/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 29/03/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/04/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 31/05/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 13/07/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 08/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |