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9

Astral Calling

2yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 51

Redcar · Happy Birthday Mark Holton Nursery · 7f 219y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

67%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Benefited from the step up in trip as she showed improved form switched to a nursery when second of 7 at Musselburgh (1m, good to firm) last month. Nudged up 2 lb but every chance she will be in the shake-up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength96%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Beverley 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f96y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/0732 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/0724 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f75y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS12/0846 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 49 · 1m2y Gd 119 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 49 par24/086OR 49projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Musselburgh62nd2nd0
2026-08-12Beverley412th10th+2
2026-07-27Southwell27th2nd+4
2026-07-04Beverley36th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0727/0712/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +20.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20266th17/255%0%-0.55
27/07/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
12/08/202612th28/10%0%0.00
24/08/20262nd17/255%83%+0.28