8
Right Up My Ali
2yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 51
Redcar · Happy Birthday Mark Holton Nursery · 7f 219y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/06/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |