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4

Bigalo

2yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 67

Redcar · Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery · 5f 217y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Wasted no time getting back on track having been given a slightly longer break between runs when second of 7 in seller over C&D (good to firm) 8 days ago, collared near line. He's now finished runner-up in half of his 8-race career so fancied to be in the mix returned to a nursery.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 25/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS25/0545 @ Ripon 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 1272 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/0625 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 64 · 7f6y GF 125 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Musselburgh 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 7f15y Gd 135 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 64 par31/076OR 645 @ Musselburgh 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 67 · 7f15y Gd 129 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 67 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 67 par22/085OR 674 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 67 · 5f217y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 67 par15/094OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar42nd1st+1
2026-08-22Redcar53rd3rd0
2026-08-07Musselburgh52nd2nd0
2026-07-31Musselburgh62nd3rd−1
2026-07-22Catterick52nd2nd0
2026-06-27York27th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0522/0722/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20266th11/142%17%-0.25
18/06/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
27/06/20267th250/10%40%+0.40
22/07/20262nd11/271%67%-0.04
31/07/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
07/08/20262nd4/596%75%-0.21
22/08/20263rd10/1195%80%-0.15
15/09/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04