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2

Empress Princess

2yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 71

Redcar · Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery · 5f 217y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made an encouraging start to her career when second of 6 over 5f at Beverley last month. Not seen to best effect as she got turned over at short odds when third of 5 in novice at Ripon just over 3 weeks ago and now makes the quick switch to a nursery. Step up to 6f will suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0844 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS1/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Ripon43rd2nd+1
2026-08-13Beverley42nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -72.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20262nd17/255%80%+0.25
01/09/20263rd1/297%50%-0.47