Moonlight Tango
2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 64
Redcar · Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery · 5f 217y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Musselburgh | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 18th | 14th | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 2 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Thirsk | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 18th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |