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9

Onslaught

2yo Colt · 9-1 · OR 64

Redcar · Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery · 5f 217y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Should have been suited by the return to 6f but was never going with much fluency when fifth of 8 in nursery at Hamilton (6f, soft) 3 weeks ago. Handicapper drops him 3 lb and first-time cheekpieces need to sharpen him up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS21/0644 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f7y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS11/0744 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS26/0745 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 70 par11/085OR 702 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f6y Sft 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 67 par2/092OR 67projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton25th1st+3
2026-08-11Carlisle55th5th0
2026-07-26Pontefract43rd2nd+1
2026-07-11Hamilton43rd2nd+1
2026-06-21Pontefract46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0611/0726/0711/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
11/07/20263rd28/10%60%+0.60
26/07/20263rd13/266%60%-0.06
11/08/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
02/09/20265th9/153%43%-0.10