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Wondervision

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 72

Redcar · Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery · 5f 217y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed improved form to make a winning nursery debut at Wolverhampton last month, doing well to get up close home after meeting trouble. Seemed unsuited by the way the race developed at Doncaster (6.5f, good) earlier in the month so she's worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength92%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/0523 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0535 @ Wolverhampton 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 6f20y Std 129 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 69 par17/085OR 692 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 72 · 6f111y Goo 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 72 par10/092OR 72projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster27th3rd+3
2026-08-17Wolverhampton51st1st0
2026-05-23Goodwood33rd1st+2
2026-05-08Ascot23rd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0523/0517/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20263rd9/488%82%-0.06
23/05/20263rd6/492%75%-0.17
17/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
10/09/20267th13/266%40%-0.26