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5

Lady Vega

3yo Filly · 9-2

Redcar · weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In need of the experience on debut in May and took a step forward when 4¼ lengths seventh of 12 in novice at Doncaster (7f) the following month, left poorly placed. Off since but she should do better somewhere down the line.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 12822/0544 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 12814/064projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Doncaster47th7th0
2026-05-22Pontefract44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0514/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
14/06/20267th11/142%45%+0.03