6
Lilac Dandy
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 46
Redcar · weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | Newcastle | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Beverley | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Beverley | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Thirsk | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2025 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/09/2025 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |