IvyArcIvyArc
7

Pointed

3yo Filly · 9-2

Redcar · weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered something to work on making her debut when fourth of 7 in novice at Kempton (7f) 2 weeks ago, beaten by the trio who were clear at the head of the market. Makes plenty of appeal with that first run behind her.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f Sta 1289/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20264th25/10%50%+0.50