4

Skewsby

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Redcar · weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed more than on debut when 7 lengths third of 4 in novice at Chester (7f) 12 days ago. Will need to find more again in this contest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Catterick 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 13326/0844 @ Chester 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 7f1y Goo 13111/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chester43rd3rd0
2026-08-26Catterick47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +19.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20267th66/10%14%+0.14
11/09/20263rd50/10%33%+0.33